Weather Based Yield Forecasts Create a Superior Crop Yield Forecasting System
The One Minute Summary
- Many providers of crop intelligence focus on analyzing only satellite information or only weather information to estimate crop health and related information to forecast yields. CropProphet uniquely focuses on leveraging weather and crop health information while not forgetting about satellite information to enable a daily updating crop yield and production forecasts.
- Users of the system can have access to the US crop production and yield intelligence and forecasts provided by CropProphet, a product of Prescient Weather. Users can also have access to digital forms of the data that drive CropProphet as well as the content created by the system.
Satellite and Weather Together
You can rely on the CropProphet Crop Yield and Production forecasting system because the best possible data is combined on a daily basis to predict the end of season USDA Crop Production and Yield forecasts for Corn, Soybeans, and Winter Wheat.
We focus on providing the best possible national yield and production forecasts because these are the values that move the price of those commodities in the trading markets. The table below provides a summary of the performance of CropProphet over the past two years.
The process of forecasting the national yield and production starts at the county level, however. CropProphet provides you with maps, such as the one below, that forecast Corn Yield at the county level.
CropProphet is unique because, while many services are analyzing satellite information to understand the health of the crop, we primarily analyze daily updated high-resolution weather information every day and update our forecast every day.
Satellite information is an input to a component of our model. The information used is called the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). An example of NDVI data is shown below. A key source of satellite information is the NDVI satellite information, as shown below.
Another important source of information is, of course, weather. An example map from the CropProphet system is shown below.
Because CropProphet is weather based, we can also provide crop yield forecasts based on weather forecast information, not just on what has happened crop season to date. For 2019, we will provide weather forecast impacted crop yield/production forecasts not just for NOAA's GFS forecast system but also the European Center for Medium Range Weather Predictions (ECMWF) ensemble forecast. As result, the CropProphet system uses inputs from many sources of information to forecast expected corn, soybean, and winter wheat yields.
CropProphet is unique because it focuses on weather inputs to create a superior US Crop Production Forecast System.