The heart of the 2019 US Grains season is rapidly approaching as corn and soybean planting finally gets underway in some parts of the Midwest. The CropProphet team has been very busy for many months with preparations for the 2019 season and in this post, we discuss the updates and improvements we are releasing for[…]
We all had to wait a bit because of the government shutdown, but the 2018 Crop Yield and Production results from the USDA NASS are in. We are happy to say that CropProphet performed very well for 2018 as summarized by the table below. Below is a bit more information regarding some of the details[…]
Impact of September Rain on Corn Yields September has begun with heavy precipitation falling in parts of the key corn growing state of Iowa. This has raised concerns on whether this could detrimentally impact corn yield. In order to quantify the potential impacts, we can examine historical CropProphet databases and end of season yields to[…]
Weather and Corn Yield Forecasts – Year over Year GrainBridge has an article discussing if historical corn prices can help to predict future corn prices. In fact, it’s titled “Can Historical Corn Prices help us Predict where Corn Prices will go in the Near Term?“ The article states “A few of the factors driving the[…]
One Minute Summary Throughout July the difference between our “year-to-date” forecast and the impact of the 14-day weather forecast suggested weather was supporting yield development. The last 5 days have seen this difference decrease. It’s likely the biggest increases in yields forecasts have already occurred. However, weather can still impact the final estimates of corn[…]
Causes of Corn Yield Variations There are two primary causes of corn yield per acre variations at the regional level in the United States. This also hold true for soybean yield per acre. They causes of variation are: The Technology Trend – many types of technology is improving yields for both soybeans and corn. The[…]
One Minute Summary Much of the US grain belt experience below normal precipitation in July, 2018 In some important states, such as Illinois, nearly 100% of counties experienced below normal precipitation during July While some locations are definitely being negatively impacted this year, the July precipitation deficit is likely not going to be critical to[…]
One Minute Summary The U.S. winter wheat harvest is three-fourths finished The final CropProphet winter wheat yield and production estimates were lower than the USDA July estimates CropProphet indicated more severe drought damage in the southern Plains USDA Winter Wheat Estimates The harvest for U.S. winter wheat is nearing completion, with the most recent Crop[…]
One Minute Summary What Crop has the monthly contribution to forecasting accuracy in the accompanying chart? Yield Forecasting Accuracy The primary crop growing season in the United States starts in late Spring and ends in the early Fall. While each days weather is different, each day also helps the crop grow. Some months of the[…]
One Minute Summary The CropProphet Soybean yield forecast has been trending upward all season. The national yield forecast has increased 1.3 bu/a over the past 6 weeks. The Iowa trend graphic looks very similar to the national yield forecast trend. The national yield forecast trend can be accessed via a trial or your subscription to[…]