Weather and Corn Yield Forecasts – Year over Year GrainBridge has an article discussing if historical corn prices can help to predict future corn prices. In fact, it’s titled “Can Historical Corn Prices help us Predict where Corn Prices will go in the Near Term?“ The article states “A few of the factors driving the[…]
One Minute Summary Throughout July the difference between our “year-to-date” forecast and the impact of the 14-day weather forecast suggested weather was supporting yield development. The last 5 days have seen this difference decrease. It’s likely the biggest increases in yields forecasts have already occurred. However, weather can still impact the final estimates of corn[…]
Causes of Grain Yield Variation There are two primary causes of corn and soybean yield variations at the regional level in the United States. They are: The Technology Trend – many types of technology is improving yields for both soybeans and corn. The result is an increase of how much crop can be produced[…]
One Minute Summary Much of the US grain belt experience below normal precipitation in July, 2018 In some important states, such as Illinois, nearly 100% of counties experienced below normal precipitation during July While some locations are definitely being negatively impacted this year, the July precipitation deficit is likely not going to be critical to[…]
One Minute Summary What Crop has the monthly contribution to forecasting accuracy in the accompanying chart? Yield Forecasting Accuracy The primary crop growing season in the United States starts in late Spring and ends in the early Fall. While each days weather is different, each day also helps the crop grow. Some months of the[…]
One Minute Summary The CropProphet Soybean yield forecast has been trending upward all season. The national yield forecast has increased 1.3 bu/a over the past 6 weeks. The Iowa trend graphic looks very similar to the national yield forecast trend. The national yield forecast trend can be accessed via a trial or your subscription to[…]
One Minute Summary In this post we answer a recent customer question about why our Soybean and Corn yield forecasts were different relative to technology trend from the start of the season Corn and Soybean Yields: Not the Same Forecast Question: Why has your soybean forecast trended above trend yield but your corn forecast has[…]
One Minute Summary Last week we discussed the negative impacts of extreme rainfall for corn in northwest Iowa Not all indicators are negative, however. This analysis looks at the current information provided from the satellite-derived NDVI predictor. In key regions of the grain belt, NDVI shows positive indications of corn and soybean yields. CropProphet helps[…]
One Minute Summary News stories have recently reported negative impacts from excessive rainfall in northwest Iowa June 2018 will be Iowa’s 7th wettest June in the last 40 years CropProphet quantification of the impact of June rainfall in northwest Iowa reveals yield losses of up to -16 bushels/acre locally. But this has relatively little impact[…]
USDA Crop Condition Report and Yield One Minute Summary The season’s first USDA Crop Condition report provides limited but valuable guidance regarding the implications for US corn yields. A good + excellent percent greater than 67 suggests greater than trend yields. Less than 67 suggests less than trend yields. The May 29 Report indicates 79%[…]