Comparing USDA August Corn Yield Forecasts On Monday, August 12th, 2019 the USDA increased its national estimate of the end of season corn yield (to be reported in January 2020) from 166.0 bpa to 169.5 bpa, an increase of 3.5 bpa. USDA’s estimate of corn planted acreage was revised downwards by less than 2% to[…]
There has been significant discussion recently regarding the possible impact of the developing heatwave on corn yield. While the heat will be very excessive for a few days, it is occurring prior to corn pollination (silking) in most growing areas, and therefore the yield impacts will be less than they would be if silking was[…]
Introduction The most popular question from customers and prospective customers of CropProphet this year is “how do you account for the late planting delays in your yield forecasts?” This post addresses that question by looking at the performance of CropProphet in prior late planting years. May 2019 = Wet in the Midwest At this point[…]
This post discusses a new quantification: direct calculation of the corn and soybean yield impacts from the 12Z GFS weather model forecast.
In this post, we discuss the importance of calculations showing the magnitude of weather variables such as precipitation and growing degree days that have occurred or is being forecast to occur.
The daily corn and soybean futures markets can be impacted by the changes in the weather forecast from one day to the next. Why? Because market participants react to changes in the weather forecast and what those changes imply for corn and soybean yields. But most people are guessing what the impact of the weather[…]
Prescient Weather, the creator of CropProphet, also offers a long-range forecast and analysis tool called the World Climate Service. Our company focuses on developing market-leading, scientifically-based climate information services. CropProphet is an excellent example of a climate information application because annual crop yields are dependent on weather conditions over an entire crop season. In other[…]
The mission of CropProphet is to quantify the impact weather has on crop yield and production as objectively as possible. The #1 request for product improvement during 2018 while discussing our mission with customers was to add ECWMF analysis. ECMWF is the weather forecast model from the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. It[…]
Excessive rainfall has occurred across much of the Plains in the past two weeks, as an extremely stormy weather pattern has prevailed in the central US and the lower Mississippi River valley. More than six inches of rain has fallen in most of central and southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma, with much of this occurring[…]
The heart of the 2019 US Grains season is rapidly approaching as corn and soybean planting finally gets underway in some parts of the Midwest. The CropProphet team has been very busy for many months with preparations for the 2019 season and in this post, we discuss the updates and improvements we are releasing for[…]